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Short Aussie, Long Yen Is the Hot New FX Bet for Trade War
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Short Aussie, Long Yen Is the Hot New FX Bet for Trade War
Jeffrey Halley, a 30-year currency trading veteran and market analyst at Oanda Asia Pacific Pte, reckons the pair could fall below 70 in the next two months. “Aussie-yen is the best bellwether for risk-off,” said Sean Callow, senior currency strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. “I don’t see a quick resolution to the U.S.-China trade war before the Group-of-20” meeting next month, he said. With U.S. President Donald Trump bringing the trade spat back to the fore by threatening to impose tariffs on almost all Chinese imports, investors are looking to benefit not just from potential downside in the Aussie, but also from gains in the yen, which is proving to be the most sought-after haven currency.
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